23 / 0035 UT - X 4.8 *o.T.*
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Herwig, Rostock
Zündung auf 70-80E(Süd) nach EIT 195 um 0036 *o.T.*
Zündung auf 70-80E(Süd) nach EIT 195 um 0036 *o.T.*
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Peter Kuklok
Type II+IV + Tenflare
SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0018 UTC
Maximum Time: 2002 Jul 23 0035 UTC
End Time: 2002 Jul 23 0047 UTC
X-ray Class: X4.8
Optical Class: 1b
Location: S13E72
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0029 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 900 km/s
ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0050 UTC
SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0023 UTC
Maximum Time: 2002 Jul 23 0029 UTC
End Time: 2002 Jul 23 0105 UTC
Duration: 42 minutes
Peak Flux: 1500 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 190 sfu
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0018 UTC
Maximum Time: 2002 Jul 23 0035 UTC
End Time: 2002 Jul 23 0047 UTC
X-ray Class: X4.8
Optical Class: 1b
Location: S13E72
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0029 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 900 km/s
ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0050 UTC
SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst
Begin Time: 2002 Jul 23 0023 UTC
Maximum Time: 2002 Jul 23 0029 UTC
End Time: 2002 Jul 23 0105 UTC
Duration: 42 minutes
Peak Flux: 1500 sfu
Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 190 sfu
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Peter Kuklok
STD: MAJOR SOLAR FLARE ALERT
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
MAJOR SOLAR FLARE ALERT
ISSUED: 01:30 UTC, 23 JULY 2002
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
A major class X4.8 (1B, possibly a 2B) parallel ribbon solar flare was
observed at 00:35 UTC on 23 July (8:35 pm EDT on 22 July). Although limb
proximity prevented a definitive determination, it appears this event was
associated with a large Moreton wave. Strong radio emissions have been
observed across much of the spectrum. A Type II has thus far been reported
with an estimated shock velocity near 900 km/sec. A Type IV has also been
reported. A tenflare has also been observed, but has not yet been officially
reported. This event was undoubtably associated with another high velocity
CME. However, this won't be known for certain and details regarding its
velocity will be lacking for several hours yet.
The event was located in Region 10039 and was located at S13 E72. The
flare progressed across what appears to be a strongly sheared neutral line
within the proximity of a probable delta magnetic configuration. Again, limb
proximity makes a magnetic analysis difficult, but this appears to be a
reasonable assessment. A parallel ribbons presented themselves north and
south of the east-west oriented neutral line.
The event began at 00:16 UTC, peaked at 00:35 UTC and ended at 00:47
UTC. This is expected to be a moderately long-duration event. X-rays are
expected to remain above M-class levels until around 02:00 UTC.
This solar flare is a suspected proton producing flare. Protons at
greater than 10 MeV (and perhaps higher energy particles) are expected
continue to elevate the near-Earth environment proton flux over the next 24
to 48 hours. Protons at greater than 10 MeV are already above event levels
due to the X-class flare of 21 July.
There is a potential for significant proton flux developing in the
near-Earth space environment over the next week to 10 days if Region 39
continues to produce major levels of activity.
Until the spot complex rotates into a better view for analysis over the
next 48 to 72 hours, it will not be possible to accurately determine the
flare potential of Region 39. However, based on the known past history of
this region as it transited the backside of the Sun, it is reasonable to
assume that significant M and X class solar flares will continue
approximately every 24 to 72 hours.
** End of Notice **
MAJOR SOLAR FLARE ALERT
ISSUED: 01:30 UTC, 23 JULY 2002
/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
A major class X4.8 (1B, possibly a 2B) parallel ribbon solar flare was
observed at 00:35 UTC on 23 July (8:35 pm EDT on 22 July). Although limb
proximity prevented a definitive determination, it appears this event was
associated with a large Moreton wave. Strong radio emissions have been
observed across much of the spectrum. A Type II has thus far been reported
with an estimated shock velocity near 900 km/sec. A Type IV has also been
reported. A tenflare has also been observed, but has not yet been officially
reported. This event was undoubtably associated with another high velocity
CME. However, this won't be known for certain and details regarding its
velocity will be lacking for several hours yet.
The event was located in Region 10039 and was located at S13 E72. The
flare progressed across what appears to be a strongly sheared neutral line
within the proximity of a probable delta magnetic configuration. Again, limb
proximity makes a magnetic analysis difficult, but this appears to be a
reasonable assessment. A parallel ribbons presented themselves north and
south of the east-west oriented neutral line.
The event began at 00:16 UTC, peaked at 00:35 UTC and ended at 00:47
UTC. This is expected to be a moderately long-duration event. X-rays are
expected to remain above M-class levels until around 02:00 UTC.
This solar flare is a suspected proton producing flare. Protons at
greater than 10 MeV (and perhaps higher energy particles) are expected
continue to elevate the near-Earth environment proton flux over the next 24
to 48 hours. Protons at greater than 10 MeV are already above event levels
due to the X-class flare of 21 July.
There is a potential for significant proton flux developing in the
near-Earth space environment over the next week to 10 days if Region 39
continues to produce major levels of activity.
Until the spot complex rotates into a better view for analysis over the
next 48 to 72 hours, it will not be possible to accurately determine the
flare potential of Region 39. However, based on the known past history of
this region as it transited the backside of the Sun, it is reasonable to
assume that significant M and X class solar flares will continue
approximately every 24 to 72 hours.
** End of Notice **
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Herwig, Rostock
EIT-Bild 0036 UT
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/rea ... it_195.gif
Nach Peters Beitrag E72S13,
nach C2/0131 scheint sich der CME zwar weit zu öffnen aber auch entsprechend E72 ungünstig. Sieht nur nach Streifschusshoffnung aus.
Gruß Herwig
Nach Peters Beitrag E72S13,
nach C2/0131 scheint sich der CME zwar weit zu öffnen aber auch entsprechend E72 ungünstig. Sieht nur nach Streifschusshoffnung aus.
Gruß Herwig
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Peter Kuklok
Ja, bei C2 noch kein full-halo zu erkennen
Guten Morgen,
> nach C2/0131 scheint sich der CME zwar weit zu öffnen aber auch
> entsprechend E72 ungünstig. Sieht nur nach Streifschusshoffnung
> aus.
dürfte aber am Ende für einen mehr oder weniger deutlichen Streifschuss reichen...mal schauen.
EPAM ist z.Zt. am Steigen, vielleicht kommt in ein paar Stunden der X3.3 vom 20.Juli?
Grüße
Peter
> nach C2/0131 scheint sich der CME zwar weit zu öffnen aber auch
> entsprechend E72 ungünstig. Sieht nur nach Streifschusshoffnung
> aus.
dürfte aber am Ende für einen mehr oder weniger deutlichen Streifschuss reichen...mal schauen.
EPAM ist z.Zt. am Steigen, vielleicht kommt in ein paar Stunden der X3.3 vom 20.Juli?
Grüße
Peter
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Herwig, Rostock
C 3 scheint leider Nachtruhe zu halten seit 0018 *o.T.*
C 3 scheint leider Nachtruhe zu halten seit 0018 *o.T.*
*o.T.*
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jan lameer
10039 Position S13 E72 no geomagnetic activity expected
Hi
As far as I know we need a CME originating between E40 and W40 for aurora to be possible on Earth
Let's what happens more
As far as I know we need a CME originating between E40 and W40 for aurora to be possible on Earth
Let's what happens more
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jan lameer
Is this already a typical Picture for Solar Min ?? *o.T.*
Is this already a typical Picture for Solar Min ?? *o.T.*
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Ulrich Rieth
non, this is still post-max activity...but not declinig phas
non, this is still post-max activity...but not declinig phase *o.T.*
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Ulrich Rieth
...aber wieder zu 95% vorbei...
...bis die Gruppe nicht noch 20 Grad weiter nach Westen vorangekommen ist, brauchen wir sie erstmal nicht zu beachten
Aber so wie es aussieht, macht sie alle 24 bis 48 Stunden ein großes Event und poliert endlich mal die X-class Statistik etwas auf.
Außerdem scheint jeder Flare auch einen CME auszulösen, was ja nicht bei jeder Gruppe der Fall ist.
Mein Tipp...ach, besser nicht, sonst gehts doch wieder schief.
Gruß
Ulrich
Aber so wie es aussieht, macht sie alle 24 bis 48 Stunden ein großes Event und poliert endlich mal die X-class Statistik etwas auf.
Außerdem scheint jeder Flare auch einen CME auszulösen, was ja nicht bei jeder Gruppe der Fall ist.
Mein Tipp...ach, besser nicht, sonst gehts doch wieder schief.
Gruß
Ulrich
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Ulrich Rieth
...ist eigentlich Dein Bett abgebrannt...schau mal auf die U
...ist eigentlich Dein Bett abgebrannt...schau mal auf die Uhr *o.T.*
*o.T.*-
Ulrich Rieth
...so wirst Du niemlas fit für die 3 PL Nächte...
...am Wochenende und nächste Woche.
Gruß
Ulrich
Gruß
Ulrich
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Peter Kuklok
Wieso? Das gehört zum Training :-) *o.T.*
Wieso? Das gehört zum Training *o.T.*
*o.T.*-
Ulrich Rieth
...naja...bei mir ist das ja eigentlich normal :-) *o.T.*
...naja...bei mir ist das ja eigentlich normal *o.T.*
*o.T.*Wer ist online?
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