SEC : PL nächste Nacht sehr wahrscheinlich ! *LINK*

[Gunnar Glitscher]

Aus dem neuem RSGA:

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/40/20
Minor storm 20/20/10
Major-severe storm 70/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/50/25
Minor storm 10/30/10
Major-severe storm 80/10/01

70% Wahrscheinlichkeit für einen Major-severe storm in unseren Breiten - nicht schlecht. Und: Die Auswirkungen des gestrigen Flares sind bei dieser Prognose noch nicht berücksichtigt!

Der Gesamtreport hier:
http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/RSGA.txt

Gruß,
Gunnar (in DA jetzt zunehmend Wolkenlücken)

[udo, dk5ya]

IPS:

Solar activity was high today. Solar region
486 (S17W09) produced an X10 flare at 2040UT and an M3.5
flare at 0511UT. A long duration M1.1 flare was also
observed which peaked at 0151UT. Four C-class flares
were also observed today. Today's X10 flare was associated
with a Type II event and a full halo CME. Shock is expected
to arrive sometime late on 31 October or early on 01
November. Culgoora Radiospectograph has reported an
expected shock speed of 850 km/s. There have been reports
that calculated this speed upto 1948 km/s.
....

Na denn - schaumermal. Radio-Aurora war übrigens vom Feinsten und ging
zeitweise runter nach Süd-Bulgarien bis an die türkische Grenze. Auch in Rom war was zu hören.

CU,
Udo