.Region 10720 developed with the single penumbra expanding into the largest penumbra observed during solar cycle 23. Within this penumbra there are two major areas with negative polarity, one in the northeast and northern central part and another in the northwest. Both of these areas have long neutral inversion lines to the extremely strong positive polarity field in the south. That positive polarity area has the longest and largest umbra I have ever observed. At its western end this umbra is actually in contact (no space between) with the negative polarity umbra in the northwestern part of the penumbra. This is causing exceptional magnetic shear and extremely energetic flares, above the X10 class level, are possible. This region has the potential to generate flares similar to those observed in October/November 2003. Flares: C1.0 at 00:14, C1.4 at 02:43, C1.0 at 05:49, C6.8 at 07:38, C1.4 at 08:37, C1.8 at 08:58, C1.9 at 09:17, C1.0 at 09:55, C8.5 at 10:15 (SEC had this event mixed with the nearly simultaneous C8.9 event in region 10718), C2.3 at 11:44, C2.1 at 12:05, C2.4 at 13:42, M1.8 at 14:11, M1.5 at 14:22, C8.0 at 15:51, C2.5 at 16:58, C2.8 at 17:42, M1.5 at 17:57, C6.8 at 18:29, C7.7 at 18:41, C3.3 at 19:11, C1.4 at 19:36, C1.2 at 20:30, C2.5 at 21:05, M1.9 at at 21:26, C9.6 at 22:03, C3.0 at 22:26, C6.0 at 22:55 and C5.6 at 23:33 UTC. Early on January 15 the following flares have been recorded: C9.8 at 00:27, major X1.2 at 00:43, C2.9 at 02:39, C2.2 at 03:21, C4.2 at 03:40, M1.3 at 04:16 and major impulsive M8.4 at 04:33 UTC.
Hmm, mal raufschauen das Teil hat fast die 2000ner Grenze geknackt, liegt so gut wie auf der Mitte der Scheibe, die magnetischen Potentiale kleben wirklich aneinander wie mit UHU geleimt und seit Stunden geht der X-Ray Flux kaum mehr unter M.
Das Einzigste was jetzt noch fehlt ist ein vernünftiger CME
Also lehnen wir uns bequem zurück und warten auf den X-whatever Flare der unsere Satelliten, Kommunikation und Luffahrt ein wenig durcheinander bringt ....
"Wilkommen in der Steinzeit" (Zitat aus Flucht aus L.A)
